By: Nnena Uwanbo.

A reported opinion-sampling exercise attributed to StarTool NG projects Dr Jamil Isyaku Gwamna, the APC candidate, with 68% support among the three named contenders for the 2027 Gombe State governorship election.

The projection places Professor Isa Ali Ibrahim Pantami of the PDP at 23% and Dr Bala Bello Tinka of the ADC at 9%. On these figures, Gwamna’s lead over Pantami is 45 percentage points.

The reported exercise covered all 11 Local Government Areas, 114 electoral wards and 2,988 polling units. It used telephone-based engagement and referenced the 2023 voter register. The supplied material reports an aggregate reach projection of 433,233 people.

The LGA and ward tables are described as derived estimates based on polling-unit counts. They should therefore be read as projections, not as confirmed counts of individual interviews or votes. The figures indicate the reported distribution of support at the time of the exercise; they are not election results, and preferences may change before election day.

From a polling perspective, the figures are best interpreted alongside the full technical methodology. The information supplied specify the achieved respondent sample, field dates, response rate, sample-selection procedure, weighting method or margin of sampling error. These details are necessary to assess the estimates’ representativeness and statistical precision.

Subject to those methodological qualifications, the reported 68% projection gives Gwamna a substantial lead in the assessment. The result adds to the political attention surrounding his candidacy and the debate over continuity, development and inclusive governance in Gombe State.

As the 2027 election approaches, the figures offer a snapshot of the reported support landscape.They also point to the need for all candidates to sustain engagement with voters and present clear, credible programmes for the state’s future.

Nnena Uwanbo is a freelance journalist and political analyst from Asaba, Delta State, Nigeria.